0xeebd105930670fb1da8f2835c8306bb9faaf7571
0xeebd105930670fb1da8f2835c8306bb9faaf7571
- Realised P&L
- $-491.79
- Volume
- $54.6k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.184 | 0.175 | $817.03 | −$43.03 |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.016 | $709.67 | +$246.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.91at 0.660Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-08?
- +$4.50at 0.640US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.962Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$-0.11at 0.261NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$-0.65at 0.110Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 22:36 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0509495008 | $21.49 |
| 10-22 04:26 | Will Israel election happen as scheduled? | BUY | 0.1174379962 | $316.37 |
| 10-21 20:42 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1794546063 | $625.17 |
| 10-21 20:23 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $10.76 |
| 10-18 05:26 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999961 | $10.76 |
| 10-13 21:33 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $147.05 |
| 10-09 22:40 | Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0104516887 | $463.58 |
| 09-10 19:46 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $8.68 |
| 09-08 03:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1499999993 | $23.00 |
| 04-08 16:55 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3499999966 | $56.17 |
| 03-29 07:41 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | BUY | 0.5199999981 | $53.58 |
| 03-29 07:24 | Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by March 31? | BUY | 0.0794707023 | $10.31 |
| 03-29 07:23 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $6.64 |
| 03-29 07:23 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | SELL | 0.0052629362 | $3.72 |
| 03-24 17:20 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2299999959 | $30.55 |