PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ghouls1

0xeeb458b1f1ed1d5e85e97344e934301de20c521e

Realised P&L
$6.66
Volume
$176.9k
Markets traded
349
Open portfolio
$30.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded349
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0200.048$11.72+$6.72
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0270.018$7.05$3.95
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? · Yes0.0120.004$2.96$7.04
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1250.105$2.53$0.47
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0530.054$2.06+$0.06
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0040.001$1.25$8.75
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0070.003$1.07$1.93
Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary? · Yes0.0130.002$0.95$5.05
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0030.003$0.83$0.17
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · No0.0240.000$0.00$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.3650.000$0.00$39.05
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$21.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.4470.000$0.00$12.61
Iran closes its airspace by May 7? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$59.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Down0.3760.000$0.00$7.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 00:24Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0209999998$1.00
09-11 23:24Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0281553398$10.00
09-11 23:19Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?BUY0.0118170135$10.00
09-01 18:36Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.003$7.50
09-01 18:36Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.0116387541$21.16
08-30 19:46Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.5429999365$1.00
08-30 19:45Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary?BUY0.0105536242$5.00
08-28 15:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0089999982$5.00
08-28 15:05Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0029999994$5.00
08-28 15:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0067076729$10.00
08-26 21:39Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0109999989$10.00
08-26 21:39Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0109999989$10.00
08-19 22:17Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0529999736$2.00
08-19 22:17Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0069999977$3.00
08-19 22:13Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETBUY0.1399999787$5.00