Ghouls1
0xeeb458b1f1ed1d5e85e97344e934301de20c521e
- Realised P&L
- $6.66
- Volume
- $176.9k
- Markets traded
- 349
- Open portfolio
- $30.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded349
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$312.06at 0.332Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$223.09at 0.126Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$188.00at 0.060Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$179.99at 0.302Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
- +$113.31at 0.413Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 00:24 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0209999998 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 23:24 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.0281553398 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 23:19 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.0118170135 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 18:36 | Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.003 | $7.50 |
| 09-01 18:36 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.0116387541 | $21.16 |
| 08-30 19:46 | Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.5429999365 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 19:45 | Will Kayleigh McEnany be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0105536242 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 15:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0089999982 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 15:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 15:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0067076729 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 21:39 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0109999989 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 21:39 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0109999989 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 22:17 | Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0529999736 | $2.00 |
| 08-19 22:17 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0069999977 | $3.00 |
| 08-19 22:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |