PolyBot

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Traders

lambot5100

0xee9daaf05f0f7b27c218433031a50e028d799bcb

Realised P&L
$-12.50
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
67
Open portfolio
$7.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded67
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0700.065$1.17$0.09
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0260.029$1.14+$0.10
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$1.10$0.10
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0290.029$1.08$0.02
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0170.018$1.05+$0.03
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? · Yes0.0360.029$0.97$0.24
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.135$0.41+$0.10
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T? · Yes0.0450.142$0.28+$0.20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$39.19
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00$2.06
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$2.14
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.33
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00$3.14
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$2.08
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0540.000$0.00$1.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 15:28Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.004$0.30
09-14 11:28Stripe IPO before 2027?SELL0.04486$1.61
09-13 07:29Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.031$0.65
09-13 07:29Human moon landing in 2026?SELL0.01$0.71
09-13 05:17Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.027$0.97
09-13 05:15Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.059$1.24
09-13 05:13Human moon landing in 2026?BUY0.024$0.86
09-13 05:12Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.013$0.96
09-13 05:12Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.017$1.02
09-12 23:28OpenAI IPO before 2027?SELL0.04$0.56
09-10 19:28Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?SELL0.018$0.61
09-06 05:15OpenAI IPO before 2027?BUY0.09$1.26
09-06 05:15Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.07$1.26
09-06 05:14Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.0356188235$1.21
09-06 05:14Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.029$1.10