PolyBot

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Traders

maddersky

0xee956829aa117b748d46454c03f17e35e37d7c45

Realised P&L
$19.42
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1040.105$1.1k+$5.61
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5000.481$144.30−$5.70
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3000.285$85.50−$4.50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2200.185$81.40−$15.40
French election called by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0710.055$68.32−$19.58
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.0600.063$50.40+$2.40
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? · No0.4600.420$42.00−$4.00
Will Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8600.825$41.25−$1.75
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.065$32.50−$22.50
Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1430.115$32.20−$8.00
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3000.310$31.00+$1.00
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No0.2400.230$23.00−$1.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1400.225$22.50+$8.50
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · Yes0.5000.600$3.00+$0.50
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? · No0.5000.400$2.00−$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:52Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5$150.00
10-20 09:52Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3$90.00
10-20 09:35France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026?BUY0.11$55.00
10-20 05:58US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.24$24.00
10-15 22:08Will Marine Le Pen win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.15$15.00
10-14 16:45French election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.098$19.60
10-14 16:45French election called by December 31, 2026?BUY0.092$2.44
10-14 08:29French election called by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0694716377$17.37
10-13 14:22Will Édouard Philippe win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.19$0.95
10-13 14:09Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.88$52.80
10-13 14:07Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.85$102.00
10-11 07:22Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3$15.00
10-06 14:50Ethereum Up or Down - October 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ETBUY0.001$1.00
10-01 14:47Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.14$49.00
09-28 21:06Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.64$2.00