PolyBot

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Traders

0xee645b5fa7965ff9b2301f75afb67c39ce35eac6

0xee645b5fa7965ff9b2301f75afb67c39ce35eac6

Realised P&L
$-5.69
Volume
$336.00
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$7.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18? · Yes0.2700.972$3.60+$2.60
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.5000.935$2.86+$1.33
Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%? · No0.5500.400$0.73−$0.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 12:28SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 16?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
10-16 04:10Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?BUY0.2699999784$1.00
10-15 15:05Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-15 06:59Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?BUY0.7979998931$1.00
10-14 22:58Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-10 13:58Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September?BUY0.6899996964$1.00
10-10 05:47Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in September?BUY0.3399999388$1.00
10-09 18:05Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
10-09 09:45Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.5729999009$1.00
10-06 22:45Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
10-05 14:19Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
10-03 20:25Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-03 16:14Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.7699995842$1.00
10-03 05:42Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?BUY0.25$1.00
10-02 07:22Will there be exactly 2 Codex weekly usage limit resets in the week of September 28?BUY0.2299999517$1.00