hammotsevrib7mexpu
0xee53fdc5c79e93dd7e395b8647cfd72785028a6c
- Realised P&L
- $-81.84
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $65.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample27 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.865 | $17.30 | +$2.70 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? · No | 0.260 | 0.265 | $13.25 | +$0.25 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.185 | $9.25 | −$3.75 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.920 | $9.20 | +$7.70 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.570 | $8.55 | +$2.85 |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.429 | $6.44 | −$1.13 |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.445 | 0.083 | $0.82 | −$3.63 |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.60 | −$1.45 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.523 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.19at 0.602Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
- +$13.17at 0.404Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$9.57at 0.750Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.61at 0.620Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August?
- +$5.78at 0.063Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 23:14 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $10.40 |
| 10-28 11:07 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 10-24 12:51 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.64 |
| 10-21 07:52 | No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 10-21 07:50 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.09 |
| 10-21 07:48 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.432 | $4.32 |
| 10-21 07:46 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.802 | $16.04 |
| 10-21 07:45 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.7354995005 | $14.72 |
| 10-03 03:12 | Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 01:28 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.397 | $7.94 |
| 10-02 01:25 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.473 | $9.46 |
| 10-02 01:19 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.47 | $3.37 |
| 10-01 23:28 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.38 |
| 10-01 23:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.028 | $2.10 |
| 09-18 08:42 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.511 | $17.89 |