psykotik
0xee521886d696b27f0da43995779d3fd018c7c18c
- Realised P&L
- $-47.88
- Volume
- $656.84
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $41.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.430 | 1.000 | $23.26 | +$13.26 |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.590 | 1.000 | $16.95 | +$6.95 |
| Will Jorge Martin win the 2026 MotoGP World Championship? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.037 | $1.14 | −$8.86 |
| Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · No | 0.643 | 0.018 | $0.57 | −$19.43 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.28at 0.422Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
- +$5.45at 0.487Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
- +$-5.22at 0.396Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$-5.26at 0.273Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
- +$-10.59at 0.116Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $30.55 |
| 10-03 10:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999999 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 10:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 10:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 10:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 09:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 09:52 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 09:49 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 09:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 09:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 09:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4099999984 | $5.00 |