0xeE4C59590F7042Ddbab534027550D810ACbf307F-1782710152347
0xee4c59590f7042ddbab534027550d810acbf307f
- Realised P&L
- $64.23
- Volume
- $870.94
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $19.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19? · No | 0.920 | 0.999 | $10.33 | +$0.81 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.135 | $3.67 | −$5.85 |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.115 | $2.75 | −$0.12 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.145 | $1.68 | −$1.22 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.009 | $0.62 | −$8.90 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.009 | $0.16 | −$9.36 |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.96 |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
| Canada leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.88at 0.310Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$13.42at 0.422Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?
- +$11.37at 0.462Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19?
- +$9.84at 0.666Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$7.27at 0.572Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 09:38 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.35 | $9.52 |
| 10-19 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.1299999986 | $9.52 |
| 10-19 09:30 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 13°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.5199999803 | $9.52 |
| 10-19 09:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.92 | $9.52 |
| 10-19 09:27 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.4499999905 | $9.52 |
| 10-18 18:55 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.7899999942 | $9.52 |
| 10-18 12:55 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.69 | $9.52 |
| 10-17 18:40 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.56 | $9.52 |
| 10-17 16:25 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.52 |
| 10-17 16:25 | Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.2999999937 | $9.52 |
| 10-17 13:55 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7899999942 | $9.52 |
| 10-17 11:25 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4099999858 | $9.52 |
| 10-15 14:30 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.70 |
| 10-15 14:30 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.23 | $2.76 |
| 10-15 14:27 | Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.125 | $2.83 |