PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xee4960797f225e286ff040e88b59027b93b38225

0xee4960797f225e286ff040e88b59027b93b38225

Realised P&L
$10.42
Volume
$150.58
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$4.10

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No0.6300.935$1.78+$0.58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No0.5400.605$1.12+$0.12
Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.7000.680$0.97−$0.03
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes0.3700.085$0.23−$0.77
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.4600.001$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 23:36Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-18 12:11Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.7$1.00
10-18 00:07Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-17 15:44Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-15 14:07Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?BUY0.32$1.00
10-14 01:37Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026?BUY0.233122839$1.00
10-13 16:19SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-10 19:34Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-10 04:48Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-09 11:54Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-09 03:53S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9?BUY0.84$1.00
10-08 19:53Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?BUY0.7399996448$1.00
10-08 03:56WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8?BUY0.3499999825$1.00
10-06 18:20Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.5$1.00
10-06 10:06Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?BUY0.4099998975$1.00