0xee4960797f225e286ff040e88b59027b93b38225
0xee4960797f225e286ff040e88b59027b93b38225
- Realised P&L
- $10.42
- Volume
- $150.58
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $4.10
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.935 | $1.78 | +$0.58 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? · No | 0.540 | 0.605 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.700 | 0.680 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.085 | $0.23 | −$0.77 |
| Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
- +$3.26at 0.240Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$3.21at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $168 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.01at 0.379Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 23:36 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of October 19 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 12:11 | Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 00:07 | Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-17 15:44 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-15 14:07 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.233122839 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 16:19 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:34 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 MedTech revenue be above $8.8B? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 04:48 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 11:54 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 03:53 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 9? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 19:53 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:56 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:20 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $164 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 10:06 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |