ver2
0xee3c1d015e4e59ea33bf43878369672e83500e17
- Realised P&L
- $-22.05
- Volume
- $44.9k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $38.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.59at 0.016Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$2.62at 0.022Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.10at 0.780Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$0.91at 0.527Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?
- +$0.79at 0.792Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:06 | Iran leadership change by November 30? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 09:05 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 09:04 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8099999352 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:04 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 09:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | SELL | 0.37 | $0.73 |
| 08-30 08:10 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999877 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:10 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.89999976 | $3.00 |
| 08-30 08:10 | Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999814 | $2.00 |
| 08-30 08:09 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:08 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.889999911 | $1.00 |
| 08-30 08:08 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $5.00 |