PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Quilty

0xee257b00fdc660243235dce9d909af16bdef7cd3

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$1.06M
Markets traded
361
Open portfolio
$929.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded361
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? · Yes0.3010.310$157.76+$4.30
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0390.033$106.14−$22.18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 in October? · Yes0.6910.660$81.04−$3.77
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October? · Yes0.4640.415$66.83−$7.89
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October? · Yes0.8330.927$59.28+$5.99
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? · Yes0.7360.820$59.08+$6.02
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October? · No0.8140.845$52.37+$1.95
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3350.295$43.98−$5.94
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4010.455$41.19+$4.92
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 in October? · No0.3630.390$39.10+$2.65
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? · Yes0.2300.205$34.82−$4.29
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? · Yes0.0860.110$30.87+$6.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7920.805$29.99+$0.48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? · No0.8600.945$27.03+$2.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in October? · Yes0.5460.420$24.00−$7.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 04:05Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?BUY0.84$16.80
10-12 00:03Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?BUY0.36$14.64
10-12 00:03Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?SELL0.24$16.43
10-09 22:55Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.13$16.77
10-09 18:07Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October?SELL0.28$2.24
10-09 18:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?SELL0.28$7.61
10-09 18:06Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?BUY0.69$5.65
10-09 18:05Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October?BUY0.26$28.60
10-08 14:06Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.86$36.77
10-08 13:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October?BUY0.1$3.53
10-08 11:12Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?BUY0.2$5.69
10-08 11:12Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October?BUY0.2$4.70
10-06 22:15Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.036$35.57
10-06 13:08Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.1$1.00
10-05 21:55Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?BUY0.73$146.00