Quilty
0xee257b00fdc660243235dce9d909af16bdef7cd3
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 361
- Open portfolio
- $929.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded361
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.344Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by November 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.722Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$645.68at 0.611Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
- +$632.15at 0.722US x Iran meeting by February 13, 2026?
- +$498.20at 0.770US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 04:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 10-12 00:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October? | BUY | 0.36 | $14.64 |
| 10-12 00:03 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October? | SELL | 0.24 | $16.43 |
| 10-09 22:55 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $16.77 |
| 10-09 18:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 in October? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.24 |
| 10-09 18:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | SELL | 0.28 | $7.61 |
| 10-09 18:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.69 | $5.65 |
| 10-09 18:05 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in October? | BUY | 0.26 | $28.60 |
| 10-08 14:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $36.77 |
| 10-08 13:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in October? | BUY | 0.1 | $3.53 |
| 10-08 11:12 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.69 |
| 10-08 11:12 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 in October? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.70 |
| 10-06 22:15 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.036 | $35.57 |
| 10-06 13:08 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:55 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.73 | $146.00 |