PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

SergeyF

0xee1df8ddc0cb2c97658bef7bcc749ccbea4d44a1

Realised P&L
$-21.59
Volume
$973.96
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$3.22

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2060.031$2.09$11.81
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.038$0.59$1.41
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.2000.065$0.33$0.68
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · Yes0.1600.035$0.22$0.78
UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Tuivasa0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Russia join the Board of Peace? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Solana dip to $100 in January? · No0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Tafa0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$1.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.00
UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Lewis0.2900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 19:12Will Solana dip to $100 in January?BUY0.003$2.00
01-31 16:46UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.5899998466$1.00
01-31 16:45UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)BUY0.3099998295$1.00
01-31 16:44Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO?BUY0.25$1.00
01-31 16:43UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.2699998542$1.00
01-22 20:12Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
01-21 19:05Will Russia join the Board of Peace?BUY0.3299997822$1.00
01-19 19:46Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.996$2.31
01-19 19:46Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.997$5.13
01-19 16:32UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.2899998666$1.00
01-18 20:08Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2099999551$2.90
01-18 20:02Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
01-18 07:19Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)?SELL0.001$0.02
01-17 11:50Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
01-15 19:47Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?BUY0.16$1.00