SergeyF
0xee1df8ddc0cb2c97658bef7bcc749ccbea4d44a1
- Realised P&L
- $-21.59
- Volume
- $973.96
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $3.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.206 | 0.031 | $2.09 | −$11.81 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.038 | $0.59 | −$1.41 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.065 | $0.33 | −$0.68 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.035 | $0.22 | −$0.78 |
| UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Tuivasa | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Russia join the Board of Peace? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Solana dip to $100 in January? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) · Tafa | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Lewis | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.69at 0.590UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$0.41at 0.130Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.32at 0.860Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.970Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$-0.00at 0.971Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 19:12 | Will Solana dip to $100 in January? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.00 |
| 01-31 16:46 | UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 16:45 | UFC 325: Elekana vs. Tafa (Light Heavyweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 16:44 | Will Tai Tuivasa win by KO or TKO? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 01-31 16:43 | UFC 325: Tuivasa vs. Teixeira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 01-22 20:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 01-21 19:05 | Will Russia join the Board of Peace? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 01-19 19:46 | Will ETHGAS launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $2.31 |
| 01-19 19:46 | Will ETHGAS launch a token by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $5.13 |
| 01-19 16:32 | UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 01-18 20:08 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999551 | $2.90 |
| 01-18 20:02 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 07:19 | Will the US next strike Iran on January 17, 2026 (ET)? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 01-17 11:50 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 01-15 19:47 | Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |