drop126
0xee0ff4a9de23e758e3f8d128b4f25fd6f62c4cf5
- Realised P&L
- $-57.4k
- Volume
- $366.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $115.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · Yes | 0.471 | 0.315 | $115.2k | −$57.2k |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? · Yes | 0.200 | 1.000 | $105.00 | +$84.00 |
| Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship? · Yes | 0.429 | 1.000 | $11.65 | +$6.66 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.192 | $5.85 | −$5.15 |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? · No | 0.328 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$328.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 19:57 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4760899425 | $6.7k |
| 01-31 18:09 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4785031039 | $50.0k |
| 01-30 09:37 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4026422224 | $10.0k |
| 01-28 10:22 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $10.0k |
| 01-28 10:22 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4702745777 | $16.0k |
| 01-28 10:21 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4613432039 | $10.0k |
| 01-28 10:20 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4127098854 | $5.0k |
| 01-27 12:05 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4749013981 | $10.0k |
| 01-27 11:57 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.4206799399 | $1.6k |
| 01-27 11:57 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.3856813609 | $3.0k |
| 01-26 22:10 | Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.328 | $328.00 |
| 01-21 19:16 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.0k |
| 01-21 17:10 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $829.88 |
| 01-21 17:10 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.9k |
| 01-21 00:49 | Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $318.00 |