DonQuant
0xeddbabe1dc506995d6008cf3851352d498f9b8d7
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $23.6k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $5.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$603.56at 0.573Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$210.54at 0.502Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
- +$184.78at 0.612Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$133.28at 0.342Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
- +$122.73at 0.711Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 09:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.4k |
| 07-06 21:38 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.999 | $476.37 |
| 07-01 20:48 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.62 |
| 07-01 20:36 | Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.07541567 | $8.00 |
| 06-22 12:04 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999996 | $285.00 |
| 06-18 13:40 | Starmer out by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7051439502 | $110.94 |
| 06-18 13:33 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $30.15 |
| 06-18 13:33 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $85.40 |
| 06-16 18:29 | Starmer out by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999969 | $56.37 |
| 06-16 18:27 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $60.00 |
| 06-16 18:27 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $30.00 |
| 06-16 18:26 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 21:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $190.00 |
| 06-09 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 06-09 22:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |