PolyBot

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Traders

DonQuant

0xeddbabe1dc506995d6008cf3851352d498f9b8d7

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$23.6k
Markets traded
96
Open portfolio
$5.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded96
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026? · Yes0.2100.055$5.75−$16.25
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$13.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Down0.5310.000$0.00−$80.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.2600.000$0.00−$90.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET · Up0.5640.000$0.00−$70.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET · Down0.0740.000$0.00−$12.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Down0.6720.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down0.1100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 09:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.988$1.4k
07-06 21:38Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.999$476.37
07-01 20:48Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?SELL0.05$0.62
07-01 20:36Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?BUY0.07541567$8.00
06-22 12:04Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5599999996$285.00
06-18 13:40Starmer out by August 31, 2026?BUY0.7051439502$110.94
06-18 13:33Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.27$30.15
06-18 13:33Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.28$85.40
06-16 18:29Starmer out by July 31, 2026?BUY0.4399999969$56.37
06-16 18:27Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.24$60.00
06-16 18:27Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.24$30.00
06-16 18:26Starmer out by June 30, 2026?BUY0.2399999856$10.00
06-12 21:37Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.54$190.00
06-09 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.4399999894$10.00
06-09 22:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETBUY0.6099998597$1.00