PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trader-edd4a834

0xedd4a834213ecd7d6146e3277eaf6883f6c3ed3f

Realised P&L
$-11.69
Volume
$16.1k
Markets traded
644
Open portfolio
$235.30

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded644
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will XRP reach $2.80 in September? · No0.9870.990$15.03+$0.03
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September? · No0.9880.990$15.03+$0.03
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5500.555$14.99+$0.14
Will Solana reach $160 in September? · No0.9900.975$14.76$0.24
Will XRP reach $2.00 in September? · No0.9750.951$14.62$0.38
Will Solana reach $130 in September? · No0.9600.850$13.28$1.72
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? · No0.9540.959$12.75+$0.06
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · No0.9330.921$12.06$0.16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8710.905$11.98+$0.45
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in September? · No0.8940.943$11.49+$0.60
Will Solana dip to $70 in September? · No0.9660.985$10.17+$0.19
Will XRP reach $2.20 in September? · No0.9760.973$9.98$0.03
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 19? · No0.9990.995$9.96$0.04
Will Solana reach $140 in September? · No0.9660.927$9.60$0.40
Will XRP reach $1.80 in September? · No0.9200.889$8.53$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 19:11Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8629999893$2.33
09-19 14:45Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6909999417$6.08
09-19 12:38Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.75$0.72
09-19 11:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19?BUY0.9889999988$4.81
09-19 09:41Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.74$0.27
09-19 09:34Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.74$0.13
09-19 09:29Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19?BUY0.8499999915$10.00
09-19 04:28Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 19?BUY0.999$10.00
09-18 20:54Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999714$4.81
09-18 18:06Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5499999781$10.05
09-18 17:25Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.6599999751$1.59
09-18 16:00Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 18?BUY0.999$5.00
09-18 16:00Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 18?BUY0.9979998088$5.00
09-18 15:58Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 18?BUY0.9839999992$10.00
09-18 15:28Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 18?BUY0.9830622798$10.38