trader-edd4a834
0xedd4a834213ecd7d6146e3277eaf6883f6c3ed3f
- Realised P&L
- $-11.69
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 644
- Open portfolio
- $235.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded644
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.79at 0.500Knicks vs. Spurs
- +$11.19at 0.981LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$10.61at 0.988Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$10.55at 0.592Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$10.52at 0.500LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 19:11 | Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8629999893 | $2.33 |
| 09-19 14:45 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6909999417 | $6.08 |
| 09-19 12:38 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.72 |
| 09-19 11:25 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,550 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9889999988 | $4.81 |
| 09-19 09:41 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.27 |
| 09-19 09:34 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.74 | $0.13 |
| 09-19 09:29 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 on September 19? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 04:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 20:54 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999714 | $4.81 |
| 09-18 18:06 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5499999781 | $10.05 |
| 09-18 17:25 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.6599999751 | $1.59 |
| 09-18 16:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 16:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9979998088 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9839999992 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 15:28 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,450 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9830622798 | $10.38 |