0xeDa7055CD903413Bb632F3b838F98D7fEDE3e3d5-1773334528970
0xeda7055cd903413bb632f3b838f98d7fede3e3d5
- Realised P&L
- $147.13
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $6.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.01at 0.962Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June?
- +$3.22at 0.984Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?
- +$0.80at 0.962Will Finland come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
- +$0.75at 0.993Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $52 on the final trading day of June 2026?
- +$0.14at 0.986Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 16:30 | Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.8126858211 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:30 | Will Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9060947313 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:29 | Will Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 16:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999964 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 16:25 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999986 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 16:09 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8192233732 | $200.00 |
| 07-23 16:09 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9009526426 | $400.00 |
| 06-17 22:33 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8256652548 | $200.00 |
| 06-17 22:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.8607001321 | $200.00 |
| 06-17 22:30 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9244721187 | $200.00 |
| 06-17 22:29 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | SELL | 0.3356807333 | $40.65 |
| 06-16 14:17 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? | BUY | 0.9299999998 | $300.00 |
| 06-16 14:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999998 | $300.00 |
| 06-16 14:04 | Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | BUY | 0.8258144385 | $100.00 |