PolyBot

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Traders

Tonymountaina

0xed8b0c9b88efb12391f7f2aa8f6060772cfb7954

Realised P&L
$-5.6k
Volume
$264.0k
Markets traded
353
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded353
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6530.756$2.2k+$298.53
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · No0.7970.730$993.36−$91.64
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.4990.505$455.50+$5.45
Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · Yes0.5860.660$388.65+$43.65
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9240.975$337.54+$17.54
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8370.942$337.43+$37.43
Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8950.861$324.67−$12.76
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0380.043$296.38+$36.40
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7600.819$269.14+$19.14
Will Declan Rice finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9380.992$264.44+$14.44
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6050.485$216.55−$53.46
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0200.022$201.06+$21.07
Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.5930.690$174.57+$24.57
Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher? · Yamal0.4650.285$119.03−$75.11
Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7990.875$109.46+$9.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 21:25Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.305625$122.25
10-19 20:05Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.32$64.00
10-19 20:04Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.6967041718$800.00
10-19 20:03Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.32$352.00
10-19 19:58Will Kylian Mbappé finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2532951803$20.00
10-19 19:56Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.32$32.00
10-19 19:55Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.3331844963$104.62
10-19 19:52Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.3$83.81
10-19 19:50Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.32$9.60
10-19 19:50Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.33$9.90
10-19 19:49Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 2 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.33$16.50
10-19 19:43Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2337107602$20.00
10-19 19:36Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.35$70.00
10-19 19:35Will Lamine Yamal finish 3rd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.592889985$150.00
10-19 19:31Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?SELL0.36$607.59