trader-ed87f54b
0xed87f54bf5e8aaf5596c38d01744fae5dbe2bb8b
- Realised P&L
- $-429.24
- Volume
- $5.3k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $347.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration75.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.08at 0.470Will AfD win between 42% and 45% of all valid second votes?
- +$41.74at 0.544Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?
- +$20.08at 0.833Will Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?
- +$16.04at 0.620Will Gentner Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
- +$15.36at 0.423Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 08:49 | Will the Republican Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.3 | $10.34 |
| 09-22 19:20 | Will the Republican Party win the OH-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.853 | $23.59 |
| 09-22 10:35 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $4.75 |
| 09-21 15:48 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $3.58 |
| 09-21 13:53 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.57 |
| 09-20 21:40 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $12.10 |
| 09-20 18:02 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.6658064516 | $6.40 |
| 09-20 17:54 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 5%? | BUY | 0.75 | $4.38 |
| 09-20 10:51 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.69 | $8.84 |
| 09-17 19:26 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $3.93 |
| 09-08 21:49 | Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | BUY | 0.85 | $106.19 |
| 09-08 21:47 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.7 | $9.10 |
| 09-08 21:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.73 | $71.02 |
| 09-08 18:26 | Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.7289725676 | $70.95 |
| 09-08 17:22 | Will the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.73 | $4.93 |