kaiserfranz22
0xed682bae6e7eefab457891cc422c4bba81f233da
- Realised P&L
- $42.13
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $115.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Londrina EC vs. América FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.550 | 1.000 | $45.43 | +$20.43 |
| COD Meknès vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.600 | 1.000 | $41.65 | +$16.65 |
| Alemannia Aachen vs. SC Preussen 06 Munster: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.510 | 0.996 | $9.76 | +$4.76 |
| Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.580 | 1.000 | $8.62 | +$3.62 |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election by 15%-20%? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.325 | $6.50 | +$2.70 |
| Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.610 | 0.285 | $2.34 | −$2.66 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.442 | 0.381 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$24.98 |
| Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.250 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.97 |
| Cusco FC vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.58at 0.542Van Spor FK vs. Sariyer SK: O/U 1.5
- +$21.58at 0.542Bologna FC 1909 vs. AC Monza: Both Teams to Score
- +$19.89at 0.562FK IMT Novi Beograd vs. FK Cukaricki Belgrade: O/U 1.5
- +$19.70at 0.608ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 2.5
- +$17.90at 0.588FK Mladá Boleslav vs. FC Hradec Králové: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:34 | Athletic Club vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:15 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.25 | $4.98 |
| 11-01 19:43 | Londrina EC vs. América FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.5499999934 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 19:34 | Académico de Viseu FC vs. Rio Ave FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.629999995 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 18:42 | COD Meknès vs. AS FAR: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.5999999952 | $25.00 |
| 11-01 18:42 | Alemannia Aachen vs. SC Preussen 06 Munster: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Cusco FC vs. Sport Boys Association: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:28 | US Lecce vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:27 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs. NK Osijek: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 18:01 | Ujpest FC Budapest vs. Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6099999656 | $3.72 |
| 11-01 17:46 | Lommel SK vs. KAA Gent: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 17:41 | Paris FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:33 | FK Austria Wien vs. SK Rapid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.6099999756 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 16:21 | Kasımpaşa SK vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |