EducatedGuess69420
0xed49defb36f77e74912c0ff38d2667317bad8783
- Realised P&L
- $-57.7k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $25.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.546Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$3.1kat 0.777Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$1.6kat 0.560US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.599US forces enter Iran by December 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.661US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.2k |
| 09-15 20:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.3k |
| 09-14 21:32 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1199999996 | $11.00 |
| 09-10 19:18 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3499999941 | $8.88 |
| 09-10 16:43 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.3k |
| 09-10 16:42 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5785863062 | $1.3k |
| 09-10 07:36 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999999 | $1.3k |
| 09-10 07:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5846413871 | $1.4k |
| 09-09 14:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 07:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 01:15 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 09-06 07:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-05 08:14 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4899999286 | $2.95 |
| 09-03 20:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.579999826 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 00:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999987 | $50.35 |