0xED13826c78f33496970Ce939f0FC29f089527dd7-1762010047684
0xed13826c78f33496970ce939f0fc29f089527dd7
- Realised P&L
- $-15.98
- Volume
- $303.13
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $74.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.905 | 0.961 | $53.07 | +$3.07 |
| Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.233 | 0.165 | $21.20 | −$8.80 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.48at 0.910US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$0.26at 0.950Will Korea make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 04:38 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1492151165 | $10.00 |
| 04-23 11:54 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2790278879 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 10:03 | Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 03-12 07:00 | Will Korea make the 2026 World Baseball Classic final? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 06:58 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 03-12 06:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9049999991 | $50.00 |
| 02-28 07:11 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.954 | $10.47 |
| 02-28 06:53 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0170000004 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 06:51 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |