PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

churna

0xed116e6d4190e5c09f950a893074b5a5aef710be

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$810.8k
Markets traded
297
Open portfolio
$14.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded297
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8860.954$4.7k+$332.86
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7130.915$2.8k+$614.99
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5900.645$1.8k+$156.73
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9250.945$1.5k+$32.00
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.6000.655$1.1k+$92.08
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9440.972$678.90+$19.51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30? · No0.9830.999$584.60+$9.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.955$542.65+$42.62
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8440.810$479.60$20.39
Will Zcash dip to $100 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9090.956$210.21+$10.21
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.945$207.69+$7.69
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9790.972$19.44$0.14
Will Hyperliquid reach $76 in June? · No0.8410.000$0.00$536.20
Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma? · No0.0900.000$0.00$13.50
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01? · No0.0800.000$0.00$224.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 17:43Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7620966758$200.00
09-09 17:43Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.91$200.00
08-21 00:37Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.961$2.0k
08-21 00:37Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.87$2.7k
08-21 00:37Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9759288236$4.0k
08-21 00:35Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.997$406.94
08-21 00:35Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.83$335.48
08-19 15:38Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.48$1.1k
08-19 15:38Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?BUY0.6465517241$300.00
08-17 04:18Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.46$342.56
08-06 19:13Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.6$330.08
08-06 19:12Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested by September 30?BUY0.983$575.53
08-06 19:09Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.95$2.1k
08-06 19:08Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?SELL0.986$2.0k
08-06 19:03Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026?SELL0.9743773918$3.0k