0xed10038b41b0a2d5add6e5d0fade72436a01962e
0xed10038b41b0a2d5add6e5d0fade72436a01962e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.76
- Volume
- $93.70
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $4.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? · No | 0.610 | 0.870 | $1.43 | +$0.43 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.560 | 0.770 | $1.38 | +$0.38 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.415 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? · No | 0.460 | 0.075 | $0.16 | −$0.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.17at 0.240Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026?
- +$1.54at 0.400Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$1.48at 0.410Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September?
- +$1.25at 0.450Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $495 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$1.06at 0.490Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:49 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 02:23 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 4? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 14:48 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:13 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 10:23 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 12:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 01:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 09:22 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $344 in September? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:41 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 14:39 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on September 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 03:53 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 19:54 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:44 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on September 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 00:12 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |