ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER
0xecf4d3d0a960f0f4460761fe4672a14479799979
- Realised P&L
- $18.7k
- Volume
- $1.69M
- Markets traded
- 860
- Open portfolio
- $4.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded860
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.446Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$1.6kat 0.706Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.297Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get between 60m and 70m views in first 24 hours?
- +$1.3kat 0.827Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
- +$1.3kat 0.358Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 17:01 | Jets vs. Titans | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 17:01 | Ravens vs. Colts | BUY | 0.4199999984 | $100.00 |
| 09-12 19:45 | Will the fight be won by submission? | BUY | 0.97 | $178.74 |
| 09-10 09:11 | Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $57.96 |
| 08-23 20:27 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.67 | $1.2k |
| 08-21 16:22 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $108.00 |
| 08-03 03:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.59 | $236.00 |
| 08-02 20:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.54 | $432.00 |
| 08-02 02:30 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $94.00 |
| 08-02 02:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.54 | $225.72 |
| 08-02 02:17 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $297.13 |
| 08-01 07:37 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.8k |
| 07-31 16:25 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.09 | $107.26 |
| 07-30 17:18 | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | SELL | 0.87 | $217.50 |
| 07-30 01:49 | Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-03 House seat? | SELL | 0.91 | $364.00 |