Jasmin422
0xecf2984f941419e6a968d1b04511c0d67296b1f9
- Realised P&L
- $-23.78
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 84
- Open portfolio
- $240.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded84
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.66at 0.973US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22?
- +$1.35at 0.882Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?
- +$1.19at 0.894Will Robert Franklin be the Oklahoma Superintendent of Public Instruction Republican nominee?
- +$1.16at 0.897Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?
- +$1.05at 0.905Will N’Kiyla “Jasmine” Thomas be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 01:44 | Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9929999996 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 01:43 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.9609999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:02 | Will the Democratic Party win the GA-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:02 | Will the Democrats win the Tennessee Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.961999944 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:01 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-08 House seat? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:01 | Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9579999969 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:01 | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:00 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? | BUY | 0.9209999407 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:00 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.9819999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 02:00 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9634980156 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 01:59 | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999963 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 01:59 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 08:26 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 10-19 15:00 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released between October 19 and October 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $10.00 |