thisissocool11
0xecef7a84f071df83cd6a8c40561ac2f8f28275fa
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $185.5k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $9.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$732.14at 0.666Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
- +$684.28at 0.544Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$367.30at 0.102Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?
- +$285.36at 0.809Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)
- +$236.80at 0.634Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:59 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.9398718352 | $44.00 |
| 09-23 13:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.934838183 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 13:57 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.9358876933 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 13:56 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 09-23 09:56 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.996 | $34.86 |
| 09-23 09:55 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.49 |
| 09-23 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 09-23 09:54 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.99 |
| 09-23 09:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.88 |
| 09-23 09:51 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.38 |
| 09-23 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.52 |
| 09-23 09:49 | Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 09-23 09:49 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $19.60 |
| 09-23 09:45 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.935 | $109.19 |
| 09-23 09:45 | St. Tropez: Dino Prizmic vs David Jorda Sanchis | BUY | 0.921 | $9.23 |