0xecd1b1489370b50359df68e126fff0618d4c4c52
- Realised P&L
- $659.75
- Volume
- $12.9k
- Markets traded
- 68
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded68
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$270.37at 0.270US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$168.80at 0.358Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
- +$125.82at 0.611Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$74.26at 0.707Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$46.91at 0.810US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 05:36 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $101.40 |
| 09-16 05:35 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.74 | $51.80 |
| 09-16 05:33 | Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $101.40 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.9591726175 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 14:57 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9612312069 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 14:56 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9541870445 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 21:20 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8299999979 | $40.00 |
| 09-01 21:15 | Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | SELL | 0.999 | $40.74 |
| 09-01 17:19 | Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8969999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-01 17:10 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 31 above $220? | BUY | 0.6 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 17:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $124.88 |
| 09-01 05:15 | Will Dell say "Nvidia" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999951 | $31.00 |
| 09-01 04:51 | Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8059701482 | $100.00 |
| 08-27 16:53 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8499999998 | $200.00 |
| 08-27 16:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999993 | $200.00 |