PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rknorw24

0xeca81e9521eb816c6238aa634305ff5ba727c6f5

Realised P&L
$-67.42
Volume
$3.9k
Markets traded
69
Open portfolio
$13.05

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded69
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3420.250$2.92−$1.08
Will Alcaraz or Sinner win more Grand Slams in 2026? · Sinner0.6300.500$1.59−$0.41
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.1800.100$1.11−$0.89
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9100.986$1.08+$0.08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1670.089$1.07−$0.93
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3400.310$0.91−$0.09
Will Bodø/Glimt win Norway Eliteserien? · Yes0.6960.635$0.91−$0.09
Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31? · Yes0.3490.305$0.87−$0.13
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.018$0.79−$2.21
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? · Yes0.2470.170$0.69−$0.31
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.7300.180$0.49−$1.51
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1200.040$0.33−$0.67
Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.1820.050$0.28−$0.72
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Mavericks vs. Lakers · Lakers0.6600.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 22:40Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
06-21 22:39Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.429999828$1.00
06-21 22:39Will Norway vs. Senegal end in a draw?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
05-24 13:32Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak DjokovicBUY0.1299999627$3.00
05-22 20:21Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.1818181818$1.00
05-22 20:21Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
05-22 20:21Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?BUY0.33999983$1.00
05-15 12:42Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.003$1.00
05-15 12:42Will Kristoffer Reitan win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.005$1.00
05-15 12:42Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0165048547$1.00
05-15 12:41Will Justin Thomas win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0194372459$1.00
05-15 12:41Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
05-15 12:41Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.025$1.00
05-15 12:41Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 PGA Championship?BUY0.0279999733$1.00
05-15 12:40Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?BUY0.059999946$1.00