0xeca3db57a62f38325f410d1514d4b276ded3c515
- Realised P&L
- $-108.77
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $23.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.54at 0.165Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$22.80at 0.690Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26?
- +$19.12at 0.512US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
- +$11.95at 0.815Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$8.95at 0.105Spain vs. Argentina: Neither team to score first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 09:33 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1329999999 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 00:14 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.0559999498 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 00:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 00:07 | Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0309999705 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 00:07 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 00:06 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 05:57 | Chiefs vs. Buccaneers | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 08-08 01:11 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.2639998606 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 18:51 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? | SELL | 0.0595289529 | $1.98 |
| 07-28 20:38 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 29? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 20:38 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 20:37 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 26? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 07-25 20:19 | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:30 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2539998669 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 21:30 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |