PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fesovec

0xec834001e3db8cf69454f9ad357ff3cdb8fc13f7

Realised P&L
$-652.50
Volume
$330.1k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$17.52

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · Yes0.0530.057$14.80+$0.93
Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22? · Yes0.1390.011$2.61$31.85
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0060.001$0.10$1.15
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on August 3? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$5.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on August 31? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00$2.88
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 17? · No0.1400.000$0.00$37.29
Will Bitcoin reach $67,000 on August 18? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$0.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in August? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 30? · No0.0290.000$0.00$4.93
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 19? · No0.0450.000$0.00$1.98
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on August 12? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$3.14
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on August 6? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$7.87
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 31? · Yes0.0630.000$0.00$5.30
Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 21? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$9.88
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 27? · Yes0.0680.000$0.00$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 12:48Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 22?BUY0.14$33.11
09-21 09:12Will Ethereum reach $2,850 on September 21?BUY0.11$1.10
09-21 09:12Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?SELL0.047$10.31
09-21 08:44Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?BUY0.0526687234$3.14
09-21 08:44Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September?BUY0.052$9.32
09-20 23:51Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?BUY0.063$0.67
09-20 21:41Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.016$0.96
09-20 21:27Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?SELL0.053$13.20
09-18 13:48Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?BUY0.0528007367$13.19
09-18 13:43Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September?BUY0.0419803314$3.12
09-03 15:53Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 3?BUY0.1379999939$17.92
09-03 15:52Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 3?BUY0.1078360656$6.58
09-02 14:23Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 2?SELL0.1507692308$9.80
09-02 14:22Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on September 2?SELL0.011988075$7.04
09-02 14:22Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 on September 2?SELL0.0385049985$14.94