PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0xeC63F3BD21D8169aAc07d05F9e7fFa68C1A52554-1769675532720

0xec63f3bd21d8169aac07d05f9e7ffa68c1a52554

Realised P&L
$19.00
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$7.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0430.035$4.13$0.87
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? · Yes0.0280.029$2.11+$0.11
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · Yes0.0600.065$1.08+$0.08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? · No0.0270.000$0.00$1.00
Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$1.00
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after February 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$1.00
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET · Down0.2790.000$0.00$9.30
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on February 6? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 09:02Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-17 11:17Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?BUY0.0279999998$2.00
09-16 07:51Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0429999999$5.00
03-27 13:37Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
03-10 10:23Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0027758501$1.00
03-05 11:53Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
03-02 16:29Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0065248597$1.00
03-02 16:29Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.0140000003$1.00
03-02 15:31Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March?BUY0.0112359551$1.00
03-02 07:52Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?BUY0.023999977$1.00
03-01 20:35Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March?BUY0.0270000008$1.00
03-01 20:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3?BUY0.0124095413$1.00
02-28 14:02US strikes Iraq by February 28?SELL0.4700687789$29.53
02-26 09:49US strikes Iraq by February 28?BUY0.015920398$1.00
02-18 12:56US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?BUY0.0789999325$1.00