0xeC63F3BD21D8169aAc07d05F9e7fFa68C1A52554-1769675532720
0xec63f3bd21d8169aac07d05f9e7ffa68c1a52554
- Realised P&L
- $19.00
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $7.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.53at 0.016US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$19.14at 0.036Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
- +$5.01at 0.089Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 09:02 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 11:17 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | BUY | 0.0279999998 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 07:51 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $5.00 |
| 03-27 13:37 | Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 10:23 | Will Dreamcash launch a token by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0027758501 | $1.00 |
| 03-05 11:53 | Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 16:29 | Will the ECB announce an increase at the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0065248597 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 16:29 | Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0140000003 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 15:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in March? | BUY | 0.0112359551 | $1.00 |
| 03-02 07:52 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 20:35 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of March? | BUY | 0.0270000008 | $1.00 |
| 03-01 20:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.0124095413 | $1.00 |
| 02-28 14:02 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | SELL | 0.4700687789 | $29.53 |
| 02-26 09:49 | US strikes Iraq by February 28? | BUY | 0.015920398 | $1.00 |
| 02-18 12:56 | US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999325 | $1.00 |