PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

rominatur

0xec06668bca4430ef0772ec8276c42250563a9178

Realised P&L
$9.4k
Volume
$231.9k
Markets traded
721
Open portfolio
$227.00

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded721
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.4980.065$169.00$1.1k
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.085$51.00$9.00
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0300.004$7.00$52.24
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1130.000$0.00$113.00
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30? · No0.1300.000$0.00$2.24
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$1.75
Will MrBeast's video get between 64 and 66 million views on day 3? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$4.71
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$7.54
Will MrBeast's video get between 72 and 73 million views on day 4? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$13.50
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480? · Yes0.4450.000$0.00$368.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-21 19:42Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0646950808$30.47
07-20 12:42Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.34$51.00
07-20 10:54Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?SELL0.41$66.11
07-20 08:04Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.27$113.13
07-18 20:47Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31?BUY0.4146067$414.61
07-18 20:27Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?SELL0.0955711253$45.01
07-17 20:30Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.14$16.59
07-17 20:30Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1389409305$26.58
07-17 19:14Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1293407945$86.21
07-17 18:57Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0995207206$24.09
05-31 08:25Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.113$113.00
05-17 13:47Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?BUY0.409$0.63
05-12 05:32Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?SELL0.1470652$73.53
05-12 05:31Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?SELL0.0047217427$3.41
05-12 05:31Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?SELL0.0013251533$1.33