EhBC
0xebefb7cc0454e73df8ee8602033e7c5331a78731
- Realised P&L
- $293.49
- Volume
- $72.6k
- Markets traded
- 288
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded288
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.46at 0.856Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?
- +$102.00at 0.320Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?
- +$88.99at 0.110Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
- +$87.97at 0.129Will Su Yiming (CHN) win the gold medal for Snowboard Slopestyle - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$81.76at 0.779US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 17:43 | ECB rate cut in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $22.28 |
| 09-03 13:44 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.85 | $982.50 |
| 09-03 13:39 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.983 | $333.62 |
| 07-29 20:40 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.891 | $389.98 |
| 07-20 18:14 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $238.96 |
| 07-09 13:38 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15? | SELL | 0.027 | $2.16 |
| 07-08 21:47 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | SELL | 0.993 | $448.03 |
| 07-08 21:46 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.95 | $261.89 |
| 07-03 13:27 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.589897108 | $118.10 |
| 07-03 13:14 | Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $98.07 |
| 07-02 12:45 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.6299999999 | $81.00 |
| 07-02 12:45 | Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | SELL | 0.972 | $81.07 |
| 07-02 12:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.7399999999 | $204.00 |
| 07-02 12:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.963 | $203.97 |
| 07-02 12:02 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.8499999967 | $230.00 |