PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

EhBC

0xebefb7cc0454e73df8ee8602033e7c5331a78731

Realised P&L
$-153.15
Volume
$72.2k
Markets traded
288
Open portfolio
$5.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded288
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9040.983$816.82+$64.83
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9150.980$535.14+$35.15
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8420.972$473.55+$63.25
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8350.945$447.17+$52.28
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8890.966$415.12+$32.99
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · No0.6330.950$371.70+$124.17
US military draft authorized in 2026? · No0.9200.979$315.88+$18.88
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8500.955$258.41+$28.41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8700.984$226.09+$26.09
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5870.655$223.33+$23.33
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6250.915$218.00+$69.00
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.9130.930$193.42+$3.42
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8400.860$153.57+$3.57
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · No0.7040.930$132.14+$32.14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.7780.715$114.80−$10.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 17:43ECB rate cut in 2026?SELL0.05$22.28
09-03 13:44Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.85$982.50
09-03 13:39Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.983$333.62
07-29 20:40Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.891$389.98
07-20 18:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.92$238.96
07-09 13:38Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?SELL0.027$2.16
07-08 21:47Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?SELL0.993$448.03
07-08 21:46Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.95$261.89
07-03 13:27US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?SELL0.589897108$118.10
07-03 13:14Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.51$98.07
07-02 12:45US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.6299999999$81.00
07-02 12:45Will GTA 6 cost $100+?SELL0.972$81.07
07-02 12:43Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.7399999999$204.00
07-02 12:43Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.963$203.97
07-02 12:02Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.8499999967$230.00