PolyBot

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Traders

longtermgains

0xebdc7650c1a441894071899c2941eea0bd5fbf08

Realised P&L
$-3.4k
Volume
$225.5k
Markets traded
102
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded102
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 19:06Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.014$27.38
09-11 15:54Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.002$3.14
09-11 11:57Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.002$3.77
09-03 09:51Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.72$76.08
09-03 09:46Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.72$53.94
09-03 09:45Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?BUY0.71$34.09
09-02 00:39Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.81$81.00
08-30 01:39Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?BUY0.006$1.06
08-26 15:30Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.49$24.50
08-04 17:32Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.129$29.67
08-04 17:32Will the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.14$32.06
08-04 17:30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.14$30.80
08-04 17:30Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.13$1.30
08-04 17:29Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.12$25.20
08-04 17:28Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.24$49.92