0xEBD551aF1Ee200e17936f14Ea175f3F1aE77094C-1759051307543
0xebd551af1ee200e17936f14ea175f3f1ae77094c
- Realised P&L
- $3.8k
- Volume
- $337.2k
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.282Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.7kat 0.012Will Czechia win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?
- +$820.00at 0.590Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$813.89at 0.518World Championships: Norway vs. Denmark
- +$770.00at 0.230Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 17:14 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.0249806119 | $128.84 |
| 09-05 09:26 | Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.022 | $9.95 |
| 08-22 17:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.22 |
| 08-07 18:59 | Will Trump say "Vault" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.17 |
| 08-07 18:59 | Will Trump say "Vault" during Friday roundtable? | BUY | 0.4 | $108.00 |
| 08-07 13:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $181.01 |
| 08-05 18:39 | National Bank Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alejandro Tabilo | BUY | 0.4199999996 | $395.00 |
| 08-05 17:36 | National Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Terence Atmane | BUY | 0.45 | $165.97 |
| 08-01 16:47 | Counter-Strike: Astralis vs MOUZ (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.12 | $157.97 |
| 07-31 16:23 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.22 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 15:44 | Will Trump say "Filibuster" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6429726608 | $66.79 |
| 07-29 19:19 | Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Tsitsipas (+1.5) | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 07-29 19:09 | Will Warsh say "Progress" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.7438658866 | $33.06 |
| 07-28 19:05 | Mubadala Citi DC Open: Marcos Giron vs Cruz Hewitt | BUY | 0.53 | $103.51 |
| 07-28 17:16 | Will Trump say "Democrat" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.68 | $339.99 |