Magnificat
0xebc5940c132877aa3590e203d37b06a8487f17b5
- Realised P&L
- $-17.98
- Volume
- $514.01
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $81.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.765 | $31.01 | +$1.01 |
| Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.700 | 0.725 | $20.71 | +$0.71 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.225 | $10.71 | +$0.71 |
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.035 | $8.75 | −$11.25 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.125 | $3.91 | −$1.09 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.145 | $3.63 | −$0.38 |
| Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $2.29 | −$2.71 |
| Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 16:37 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.00 |
| 08-27 16:32 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 16:31 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 16:28 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999993 | $20.00 |
| 08-27 16:24 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.739999997 | $30.00 |
| 08-27 16:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 08-27 16:22 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 06-04 16:15 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 13:23 | Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election? | BUY | 0.101289117 | $5.00 |