PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Magnificat

0xebc5940c132877aa3590e203d37b06a8487f17b5

Realised P&L
$-17.98
Volume
$514.01
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$81.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.7400.765$31.01+$1.01
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? · No0.7000.725$20.71+$0.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.225$10.71+$0.71
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes0.0800.035$8.75$11.25
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.125$3.91$1.09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.145$3.63$0.38
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$2.29$2.71
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election? · Yes0.1010.000$0.00$5.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 16:37Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$4.00
08-27 16:32Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.08$10.00
08-27 16:31Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.08$10.00
08-27 16:28Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026?BUY0.699999993$20.00
08-27 16:24Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.739999997$30.00
08-27 16:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
08-27 16:22NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.16$5.00
06-04 16:15Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
06-03 13:23Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.101289117$5.00