0xebab0b6A0b53a7A50e092Eca0174C3C7676275fe-1782176170902
0xebab0b6a0b53a7a50e092eca0174c3c7676275fe
- Realised P&L
- $-188.65
- Volume
- $6.5k
- Markets traded
- 128
- Open portfolio
- $19.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded128
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC | 0.230 | 0.215 | $19.49 | −$1.36 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.235 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.36 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? · Yes | 0.427 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-30? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) · Liverpool FC | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-12? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Antoine Semenyo: Anytime Goalscorer · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals · Yes | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? · No | 0.000 | 0.000 | $0.00 | +$0.00 |
| Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.23at 0.198Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?
- +$38.15at 0.051Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals
- +$36.59at 0.084Spread: Leeds United FC (-2.5)
- +$33.86at 0.208Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
- +$25.35at 0.290Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 12:58 | Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2299999998 | $20.85 |
| 10-18 15:26 | Bukayo Saka: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3386251814 | $40.00 |
| 10-18 09:25 | Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 09:25 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.3799999972 | $30.00 |
| 10-17 16:13 | Nicolas Jackson: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 13:49 | Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 13:49 | Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-17 11:07 | Morgan Rogers: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 11:06 | Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 11:06 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 11:05 | Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 11:05 | Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.0699999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-09 11:04 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:41 | Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 14:40 | Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $5.00 |