mgm93
0xeba96ed3f877548dce47f7062fff11e391fd1eae
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $69.8k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $964.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.7kat 0.143Will the Bank of Israel cut by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
- +$564.01at 0.816Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$524.56at 0.807Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
- +$504.98at 0.465US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$398.98at 0.172Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the September decision?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 19:52 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.2901988335 | $87.57 |
| 10-18 20:59 | Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.6781132258 | $210.22 |
| 10-16 17:59 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.25239058 | $126.20 |
| 10-15 14:45 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1564255319 | $36.76 |
| 10-15 14:44 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1470011295 | $41.65 |
| 10-15 14:44 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1114420135 | $19.31 |
| 10-15 14:44 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1068557206 | $20.93 |
| 10-09 12:50 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4379621438 | $41.19 |
| 10-09 12:49 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.385 | $23.10 |
| 09-30 11:53 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.3772389455 | $62.53 |
| 09-29 19:17 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará? | BUY | 0.083 | $26.34 |
| 09-29 19:15 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.637951157 | $106.97 |
| 09-29 19:14 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement? | BUY | 0.6161493884 | $82.61 |
| 09-22 18:55 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | SELL | 0.267509167 | $102.87 |
| 09-21 19:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.37 | $185.00 |