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Traders

mgm93

0xeba96ed3f877548dce47f7062fff11e391fd1eae

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$69.8k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$964.54

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.4260.375$337.50−$46.35
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? · Yes0.6780.675$209.25−$0.96
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.5650.485$207.39−$33.80
Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1500.338$151.23+$84.29
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.6180.265$42.78−$57.22
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision? · Yes0.2290.032$16.39−$101.02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.4560.000$0.00−$171.85
Will Aldo Rebelo finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$6.20
Will Eduardo Leite finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$6.20
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$6.20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.51
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$200.00
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$6.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 19:52Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?SELL0.2901988335$87.57
10-18 20:59Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.6781132258$210.22
10-16 17:59Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?SELL0.25239058$126.20
10-15 14:45Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.1564255319$36.76
10-15 14:44Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.1470011295$41.65
10-15 14:44Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.1114420135$19.31
10-15 14:44Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.1068557206$20.93
10-09 12:50Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4379621438$41.19
10-09 12:49Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.385$23.10
09-30 11:53Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?BUY0.3772389455$62.53
09-29 19:17Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?BUY0.083$26.34
09-29 19:15Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.637951157$106.97
09-29 19:14Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?BUY0.6161493884$82.61
09-22 18:55Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting?SELL0.267509167$102.87
09-21 19:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.37$185.00
Trader mgm93 · PolyBot Pro