oboss
0xeb73b4e62562fa430c2d549993919881eb95292c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $137.5k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $591.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No | 0.889 | 0.929 | $270.85 | +$11.58 |
| StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.663 | 0.170 | $163.43 | −$474.06 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.028 | $144.75 | −$1.1k |
| StandX FDV above $7B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.032 | $12.76 | +$9.11 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.071 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$81.73 |
| Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · No | 0.477 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$732.45at 0.906Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$40.45at 0.914Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
- +$3.59at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-0.29at 0.210Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?
- +$-1.71at 0.006Based FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-01 10:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.163 | $195.29 |
| 03-29 19:48 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.924 | $1.5k |
| 03-26 07:46 | Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.6745203168 | $51.96 |
| 03-23 11:04 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $1.3k |
| 03-22 17:47 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $5.2k |
| 03-22 11:50 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $2.2k |
| 03-21 04:23 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $648.39 |
| 03-20 08:03 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $763.19 |
| 03-09 20:24 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.915 | $235.51 |
| 03-09 20:23 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.915 | $640.50 |
| 03-09 05:37 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.915 | $3.5k |
| 03-08 00:14 | Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.965 | $305.79 |
| 03-07 21:16 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.915 | $4.7k |
| 03-07 21:16 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.915 | $4.7k |
| 03-05 11:32 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.915 | $1.2k |