PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

sorcerer.00

0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0

Realised P&L
$226.6k
Volume
$46.31M
Markets traded
1,388
Open portfolio
$41.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,388
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration50.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5170.553$11.2k+$724.21
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? · No0.9130.908$6.3k$31.11
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.6420.575$5.6k$659.73
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5940.665$4.8k+$516.80
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6680.765$4.6k+$581.43
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3520.305$2.0k$308.15
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7250.835$1.7k+$223.84
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.5180.565$982.57+$81.89
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.7360.840$971.81+$119.81
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8700.765$760.22$104.34
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.7230.765$564.36+$31.32
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$467.50$2.50
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2010.230$458.45+$56.47
Will Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2026 AFC South? · Yes0.2980.425$358.79+$107.12
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? · No0.7600.815$163.00+$11.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 13:31Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.94$47.00
09-17 13:31Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?BUY0.94$470.00
09-16 19:22Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.76$151.99
09-16 17:55Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.6900950952$14.4k
09-16 13:35Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?BUY0.9129967207$6.3k
09-16 12:48Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.007$80.73
09-16 12:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.61$1.6k
09-16 12:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.61$1.6k
09-16 12:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.61$435.49
09-15 14:09Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.94$10.07
09-15 12:05Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.62$632.00
09-15 12:03Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.93$68.03
09-14 19:29Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.92$660.46
09-14 18:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.86$1.3k
09-14 18:32Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.86$2.2k