PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

456ythgbvcadscvb

0xeb6f0a13ea8c5a7a0514c25495adbe815c1025f0

Realised P&L
$207.6k
Volume
$46.30M
Markets traded
1,408
Open portfolio
$4.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,408
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.5460.875$1.7k+$632.13
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3480.235$1.6k−$792.19
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.6050.439$445.54−$169.17
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6100.435$441.89−$177.77
Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2028? · No0.5980.540$30.24−$3.23
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.6300.715$7.72+$0.92
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · No0.7400.000$0.00−$370.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$555.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:54Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.24$6.2k
11-01 16:40Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.22$2.4k
11-01 16:36Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2$1.1k
11-01 16:34Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.19$1.8k
10-29 13:22Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.68$680.00
10-29 13:22Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.7$1.8k
10-29 13:21Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.780246042$3.3k
10-29 13:21Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?SELL0.78$753.11
10-29 13:21Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9046718$1.8k
10-29 13:21Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?SELL0.9084964062$2.4k
10-29 13:21Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?SELL0.7603740877$15.7k
10-28 21:02Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?BUY0.91$784.80
10-28 18:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.79$481.90
10-28 16:48Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.964986036$16.0k
10-28 16:48Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?SELL0.9647390823$18.8k