PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

fer2h29

0xeb6be6ff9c4ecb373ae0e091eb2769db57336266

Realised P&L
$-424.42
Volume
$290.4k
Markets traded
5,955
Open portfolio
$208.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,955
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9750.970$102.88−$0.53
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9900.989$91.00−$0.17
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 7? · No0.9970.990$4.95−$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6? · No0.9970.994$4.11−$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No0.9770.986$1.01+$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9880.996$1.01+$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9910.998$1.01+$0.01
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? · No0.9940.995$1.00+$0.00
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No0.9960.997$1.00+$0.00
Will XRP reach $2.80 in October? · No0.9870.977$0.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 07:48Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 7?BUY0.997$4.99
10-05 07:47Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6?BUY0.9970029042$4.12
10-05 07:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 5?BUY0.996$9.96
10-04 22:59Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.95$1.00
10-04 07:11Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 4?BUY0.996$4.98
10-03 21:47Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?SELL0.999$9.99
10-03 21:45Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.995$1.00
10-03 20:43Murray State vs. North DakotaBUY0.997$1.00
10-03 20:42Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.997999012$1.00
10-03 17:25Middle Tennessee vs. KansasBUY0.997$1.00
10-03 17:25Syracuse vs. UConnBUY0.97$1.00
10-03 15:16Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3?SELL0.999$4.42
10-03 15:15Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3?BUY0.992$9.92
10-03 15:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 3?SELL0.999$9.99
10-03 08:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 5?BUY0.997$4.99