fer2h29
0xeb6be6ff9c4ecb373ae0e091eb2769db57336266
- Realised P&L
- $-424.42
- Volume
- $290.4k
- Markets traded
- 5,955
- Open portfolio
- $208.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,955
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration9.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.975 | 0.970 | $102.88 | −$0.53 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.990 | 0.989 | $91.00 | −$0.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 7? · No | 0.997 | 0.990 | $4.95 | −$0.04 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6? · No | 0.997 | 0.994 | $4.11 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October? · No | 0.977 | 0.986 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.996 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.991 | 0.998 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in October? · No | 0.994 | 0.995 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will XRP reach $2.80 in October? · No | 0.987 | 0.977 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.33at 0.913Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$10.96at 0.900Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on May 9?
- +$8.70at 0.399GPT-5.4 released by March 5?
- +$5.91at 0.735Will Spain record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
- +$4.41at 0.800Will Cameron Boozer be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 07:48 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 10-05 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.9970029042 | $4.12 |
| 10-05 07:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.996 | $9.96 |
| 10-04 22:59 | Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 07:11 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.996 | $4.98 |
| 10-03 21:47 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-03 21:45 | Will St. Vincent and the Grenadines win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:43 | Murray State vs. North Dakota | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:42 | Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.997999012 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:25 | Middle Tennessee vs. Kansas | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 17:25 | Syracuse vs. UConn | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 15:16 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.42 |
| 10-03 15:15 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 10-03 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-03 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |