PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xeB61903e1990deee9B53F1a07CAd81facaC17e4b-1769427105512

0xeb61903e1990deee9b53f1a07cad81facac17e4b

Realised P&L
$13.47
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
329
Open portfolio
$63.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded329
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 05:04Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999944$4.45
07-13 05:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999957$9.76
07-13 05:03Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999957$9.76
07-12 20:42Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat?BUY0.8799999965$10.00
07-12 17:07Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?BUY0.0929559748$7.39
07-12 16:41Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?BUY0.109384711$5.72
07-12 16:09Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?BUY0.1166951734$5.00
07-12 13:14Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?SELL0.791904048$5.28
07-12 12:28Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?BUY0.2799999645$5.36
07-12 09:54Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 12?BUY0.6351167836$4.24
07-11 20:16Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
07-11 19:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11?BUY0.0416286428$4.69
07-11 19:11Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 11?BUY0.2469999748$5.00
07-10 14:04Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?BUY0.0787303449$5.37
07-10 13:48Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?BUY0.2435714286$3.41