PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

535653

0xeb412ef3c3f88777d9d9e643089c91a03ebe743f

Realised P&L
$-21.78
Volume
$433.28
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$5.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes0.0800.060$2.27$0.73
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.9080.911$2.01+$0.01
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5900.460$0.78$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-09 18:16Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?SELL0.002$0.01
04-02 03:23Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?BUY0.33999983$1.00
04-02 03:16Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?BUY0.9079999873$2.00
02-06 11:26Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?BUY0.08$3.00
12-28 04:23Clavicular charged by Jan 31?SELL0.22$3.93
12-27 06:31Clavicular charged by Jan 31?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
11-09 01:28Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1BUY0.3449998603$1.00
11-07 22:38Will Trump say “MAGA" or "Make America Great Again” this week? (November 10 - 16)BUY0.91$1.00
11-04 23:58Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?BUY0.0219999787$1.00
11-04 20:27Nothing Ever Happens: AI EditionBUY0.4$1.00
11-04 20:27Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster EditionBUY0.1799998704$1.00
11-04 20:15US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?BUY0.9299997117$1.00
11-04 18:58Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
11-04 18:56Will the Government shutdown end by December 31?BUY0.0389999635$1.00
11-04 18:55Will the Government shutdown end by November 30?BUY0.1399998824$1.00