535653
0xeb412ef3c3f88777d9d9e643089c91a03ebe743f
- Realised P&L
- $-21.78
- Volume
- $433.28
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $5.05
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)23.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.060 | $2.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No | 0.908 | 0.911 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.460 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.00at 0.500Spurs vs. Knicks
- +$0.10at 0.910Will Trump say “MAGA" or "Make America Great Again” this week? (November 10 - 16)
- +$0.08at 0.930US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
- +$0.06at 0.947Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$-0.99at 0.340Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 18:16 | Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 04-02 03:23 | Will Kevin Clarke win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 03:16 | Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? | BUY | 0.9079999873 | $2.00 |
| 02-06 11:26 | Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.00 |
| 12-28 04:23 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.93 |
| 12-27 06:31 | Clavicular charged by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 11-09 01:28 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 | BUY | 0.3449998603 | $1.00 |
| 11-07 22:38 | Will Trump say “MAGA" or "Make America Great Again” this week? (November 10 - 16) | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 23:58 | Will 2025 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 20:27 | Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 20:27 | Nothing Ever Happens: Natural Disaster Edition | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 20:15 | US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7? | BUY | 0.9299997117 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 18:58 | Will Not Like Us by Kendrick Lamar be the #1 searched song on Google this year? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 18:56 | Will the Government shutdown end by December 31? | BUY | 0.0389999635 | $1.00 |
| 11-04 18:55 | Will the Government shutdown end by November 30? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |