0xeb400596147872fd032f5197a0bae5f488f8c1fa
0xeb400596147872fd032f5197a0bae5f488f8c1fa
- Realised P&L
- $-1.09
- Volume
- $361.16
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $7.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · No | 0.230 | 0.260 | $1.88 | +$0.22 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.980 | $1.68 | +$0.58 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.900 | $1.34 | +$0.24 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.690 | $1.17 | +$0.07 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.315 | $0.99 | −$0.11 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.075 | $0.33 | −$1.33 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.370 | 0.021 | $0.06 | −$1.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.87at 0.247Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$6.19at 0.217Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$4.81at 0.319Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $186 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.308Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $204 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.51at 0.472Will Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 22:17 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499998818 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 22:16 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $174 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999045 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 14:14 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7399998924 | $1.10 |
| 09-21 06:08 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $690 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999793 | $1.10 |
| 09-20 21:47 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 21? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 07:38 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.10 |
| 09-19 06:22 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999966 | $1.10 |
| 09-18 18:33 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.2299999778 | $1.66 |
| 09-18 00:12 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 18? | BUY | 0.5499999669 | $1.66 |
| 09-17 15:44 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 17? | BUY | 0.6299999127 | $1.66 |
| 09-17 07:21 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 17? | BUY | 0.5299999106 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 22:58 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $173 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998578 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 13:29 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" 5+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.279999973 | $1.66 |
| 09-16 05:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.4199999949 | $1.66 |
| 09-15 20:43 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4399999152 | $1.66 |