PolyBot

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Traders

0xeb400596147872fd032f5197a0bae5f488f8c1fa

Realised P&L
$2.78
Volume
$69.93
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$7.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6600.865$2.87+$0.68
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.895$2.45+$0.26
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? · Yes0.6600.545$1.81$0.38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.145$0.19$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 08:09Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.24$2.19
08-04 12:07Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.5899999542$2.19
08-04 04:06US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6599999578$2.19
08-03 20:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$2.19
08-03 11:51Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $580 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4299999097$2.19
08-03 03:50Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8?BUY0.6599999578$2.19
08-02 19:36Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4899999687$2.19
08-02 01:49US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7699998323$1.01
08-01 16:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7599998195$2.19
08-01 05:08Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 21:08New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04
07-31 13:06Will Trump say "Transgender" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.96$3.88
07-30 04:24Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.43$1.29
07-29 16:44New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999262$2.21
07-29 07:35Will Warsh say "Shock" during July Press Conference?BUY0.49$1.96