PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

haagzera1

0xeaf89c372ae79cf51422d63f85e2769d49face6d

Realised P&L
$-342.13
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration90.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%? · Yes0.4880.485$505.63−$2.90
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%? · Yes0.2480.265$276.53+$17.67
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes0.3000.410$205.00+$55.00
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by 5%-10%? · Yes0.4340.340$22.17−$6.12
Will Douglas Ruas win the 2026 Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial second round by less than 5%? · Yes0.3880.265$18.05−$8.35
Will Corinthians be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A? · Yes0.2250.265$10.60+$1.60
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 20%-25%? · Yes0.2000.415$8.71+$4.51
Will Celina Leão win the 2026 Federal District gubernatorial second round by 15%-20%? · Yes0.1640.155$2.94−$0.17
Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00−$46.19
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$12.15
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5930.000$0.00−$2.9k
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$3.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 22:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.4799999974$29.00
10-09 22:14Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2399999973$14.00
10-09 18:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.479999999$154.00
10-09 18:57Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2299999996$74.00
10-09 15:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.5$21.00
10-09 15:24Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2199999958$9.50
10-09 13:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.5$71.00
10-09 13:44Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.2299999988$32.90
10-09 12:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.5$25.00
10-09 12:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.24$12.00
10-09 12:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.25$28.50
10-09 12:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.5$56.00
10-09 12:38Will Corinthians be relegated from the 2026 Brazil Série A?BUY0.2$4.00
10-09 00:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?BUY0.4766355129$68.00
10-09 00:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?BUY0.26$39.00