bling-043
0xeaf4c7283dab04c784813e5343805ee1faa373af
- Realised P&L
- $-467.51
- Volume
- $183.6k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $6.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.626 | 0.550 | $6.8k | −$931.00 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.520 | $52.00 | +$21.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.00at 0.390Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$192.00at 0.810Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- +$42.00at 0.750Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by November 19, 2026?
- +$35.99at 0.800GPT ads by March 31?
- +$0.00at 0.219Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:35 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 11-02 06:31 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $49.00 |
| 11-02 06:26 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | SELL | 0.69 | $7.5k |
| 11-02 03:13 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $1.9k |
| 11-02 03:11 | Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30? | BUY | 0.72 | $6.0k |
| 11-02 02:07 | Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.0k |
| 10-30 06:19 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.3904285714 | $546.60 |
| 10-30 06:14 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | SELL | 0.4301031579 | $4.1k |
| 10-30 02:34 | Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | BUY | 0.47 | $5.1k |
| 10-30 02:08 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.7k |
| 10-30 02:04 | Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4 | $600.00 |
| 06-23 07:12 | Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | SELL | 0.33 | $26.40 |
| 03-26 03:53 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? | BUY | 0.274 | $165.77 |
| 03-26 02:04 | Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.364 | $6.4k |
| 01-05 02:42 | GPT ads by March 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $2.8k |