PolyBot

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Traders

bling-043

0xeaf4c7283dab04c784813e5343805ee1faa373af

Realised P&L
$-467.51
Volume
$183.6k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$6.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample15 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.6260.550$6.8k−$931.00
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.3100.520$52.00+$21.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:35Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?SELL0.7$21.00
11-02 06:31Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?SELL0.7$49.00
11-02 06:26Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?SELL0.69$7.5k
11-02 03:13Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?BUY0.72$1.9k
11-02 03:11Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen by November 30?BUY0.72$6.0k
11-02 02:07Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?SELL0.83$8.0k
10-30 06:19Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?SELL0.3904285714$546.60
10-30 06:14Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?SELL0.4301031579$4.1k
10-30 02:34Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.47$5.1k
10-30 02:08Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$4.7k
10-30 02:04Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.4$600.00
06-23 07:12Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?SELL0.33$26.40
03-26 03:53Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?BUY0.274$165.77
03-26 02:04Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.364$6.4k
01-05 02:42GPT ads by March 31?SELL0.81$2.8k