PioneerPrincess
0xeaf152c7b3a73a0f23fa20ae407ea160068bc04b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $73.5k
- Markets traded
- 125
- Open portfolio
- $850.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded125
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$368.71at 0.213Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon?
- +$127.27at 0.440BYU vs. Iowa State
- +$117.39at 0.460Spread: Oregon (-10.5)
- +$97.93at 0.290Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Arizona State
- +$97.53at 0.170Penn State vs. UCLA
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-02 22:41 | Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? | BUY | 0.1559171192 | $50.00 |
| 07-14 05:44 | Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $20.00 |
| 06-03 04:42 | Will a candidate win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election in the first round? | BUY | 0.0128734157 | $30.00 |
| 06-02 20:29 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-27 05:30 | Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.1027327823 | $50.00 |
| 04-23 06:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3184649326 | $27.34 |
| 04-23 06:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.57 |
| 04-23 05:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $3.75 |
| 04-23 05:10 | Will Chris Dudley win the 2026 Oregon Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.1131764557 | $50.00 |
| 04-07 18:49 | Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999874 | $15.16 |
| 03-27 06:02 | Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0910479722 | $200.00 |
| 03-19 15:29 | Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5) | BUY | 0.4899999814 | $9.91 |
| 03-19 15:28 | Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5) | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $9.91 |
| 03-19 15:28 | Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers | BUY | 0.12 | $14.94 |
| 03-12 06:10 | Will David Brock Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oregon? | BUY | 0.2133198776 | $99.98 |