horalko
0xeae5334a14083d9ed9862c47aaff00dd0adca3fb
- Realised P&L
- $-140.09
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.16at 0.836Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?
- +$60.10at 0.925Will Solana reach $140 in February?
- +$54.79at 0.880Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in March?
- +$54.00at 0.840Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in March?
- +$53.38at 0.867Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 12:44 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $272 in October? | BUY | 0.95 | $80.00 |
| 10-01 10:36 | Will Solana reach $150 in October? | BUY | 0.8723690962 | $150.00 |
| 10-01 10:35 | Will Solana reach $160 in October? | BUY | 0.9427097111 | $150.00 |
| 09-16 15:02 | Will Solana reach $130 in September? | BUY | 0.9499999991 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 15:09 | Will Solana reach $140 in September? | BUY | 0.9666133544 | $100.00 |
| 09-07 13:47 | Will Solana reach $160 in September? | BUY | 0.9649999965 | $150.00 |
| 09-02 14:52 | Will Solana reach $150 in September? | BUY | 0.9689999999 | $131.00 |
| 09-02 08:05 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9479999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 20:02 | Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? | BUY | 0.9359999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-01 09:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9449999998 | $150.00 |
| 09-01 09:13 | Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? | BUY | 0.945763559 | $200.00 |
| 08-31 19:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 14:49 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9229056226 | $200.00 |
| 08-31 12:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9491529758 | $100.00 |
| 08-30 20:48 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $248 in August? | SELL | 0.998 | $104.92 |