0xEaE43E9ba1C5d833ADc1C99A3aA5c0FCc596Ad95-1779195166156
0xeae43e9ba1c5d833adc1c99a3aa5c0fcc596ad95
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $227.5k
- Markets traded
- 492
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded492
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.75at 0.018Will "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 21m?
- +$97.53at 0.287Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$57.19at 0.035Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?
- +$56.48at 0.655Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?
- +$44.88at 0.164Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 IR Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 16:51 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999086 | $1.27 |
| 10-26 16:51 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 01:49 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? | BUY | 0.0430222219 | $2.20 |
| 10-22 01:48 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? | BUY | 0.0069216606 | $2.00 |
| 10-22 01:48 | Will "Clayface" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? | BUY | 0.0084206981 | $2.00 |
| 10-22 01:47 | Will MrBeast hit 144.5 billion views by October 31? | BUY | 0.1027971622 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 01:46 | Will MrBeast hit 144.5 billion views by October 31? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.50 |
| 10-22 01:45 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.0197530864 | $6.00 |
| 10-22 01:42 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.092 | $16.97 |
| 10-21 04:47 | Will MrBeast hit 144.5 billion views by October 31? | BUY | 0.1899999956 | $4.74 |
| 10-21 04:42 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? | SELL | 0.0281629118 | $3.14 |
| 10-19 14:36 | Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from October 13 to October 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.2439999849 | $1.10 |
| 10-19 14:33 | Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:32 | Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.0369999987 | $1.00 |
| 10-19 14:32 | Will MrBeast hit 523 million subscribers by October 31? | BUY | 0.0136659956 | $2.00 |