0xeaD9fe835f53C6A2a607050eE6766d986B5bAb20-1775289784709
0xead9fe835f53c6a2a607050ee6766d986b5bab20
- Realised P&L
- $-42.54
- Volume
- $15.8k
- Markets traded
- 196
- Open portfolio
- $136.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded196
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.25at 0.076Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$15.00at 0.015Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$7.02at 0.012Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$6.39at 0.016Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$6.15at 0.040Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 21:59 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.987 | $2.57 |
| 05-12 19:04 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.092 | $3.54 |
| 05-12 19:03 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.036 | $6.01 |
| 05-12 19:02 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.121 | $2.52 |
| 04-27 01:43 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.261 | $0.94 |
| 04-27 01:30 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.261 | $0.94 |
| 04-27 01:06 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.261 | $0.94 |
| 04-26 17:37 | Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.0016933333 | $0.08 |
| 04-26 17:37 | Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 04-26 17:37 | Will Villarreal finish in the top 4 of the La Liga 2025–26 standings? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 04-26 16:01 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.693 | $0.98 |
| 04-26 15:56 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.693 | $0.98 |
| 04-26 07:46 | Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison? | SELL | 0.69 | $0.97 |
| 04-25 21:47 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $12.93 |
| 04-25 21:47 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.8061123212 | $13.54 |